Osler's Razor

When I was a little kid, there was a TV show called "Lost in Space" that was a space-themed update on Swiss Family Robinson. It featured a robot whose most important function was to wave his arms around and intone "Danger, Will Robinson, Danger!"

Because dumb TV shows played a big role in programming my brain, my internal dialogue often features this robot. Lately, that's been true nearly every time I check out the news.

Most recently, our President's decision to pull out of the Iran nuclear deal in favor of, I guess, no deal at all, has brought the crazy robot back to the front of my mind. Danger, indeed!

Back during the Iraq war, I had a series of discussion/disagreements with IPLawGuy and few others about the validity of the Iraq War. It made no sense to me-- there just did not seem to be a reason that justified the cost of that military adventure. The best thing they could come up with was stable oil prices. That always seemed relatively inconsequential to me (compared to the trillions of dollars and the lives that would be lost).

If nothing else, the conflicts that will come of yesterday's move to step away from the Iran deal seem certain to create instability in the Middle East, which usually means instability in the oil markets-- and often, higher prices.

At the same time, it's not clear what this administration is going to do to limit Iran's nuclear development. It's like quitting your job in a fit of pique without having a new one lined up. 

Or... am I wrong?